{
  "generatedUTC": "2026-10-31T00:05:29.288647+00:00",
  "primaryCommentFacts": {
    "capturedUTC": "2026-10-30T23:52:58.040950+00:00",
    "finding": "Car\u2019s official Polymarket comment records explicitly recommend artificially increasing YouTube subscriber counts as a way to protect a NO bet, and contain repeated plans/threats to do it.",
    "recommendedPublicWording": "Car publicly advocated buying artificial subscribers to protect NO bets in a subscriber-count market. His own comments also twice threatened to bot the count near the deadline.",
    "authorBinding": {
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "embeddedProfileName": "Car",
      "embeddedProxyWallet": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
      "source": "Each current first-party comment response embeds these bindings; this is platform attribution, not an independently signed comment cryptographic recovery."
    },
    "market": {
      "eventId": "10450",
      "marketId": "501125",
      "question": "MrBeast biggest YouTube channel by June 30?",
      "conditionId": "0xa428ac2510adc1afc93d77b2fb0fd68f35254b4a30be2c335467956fc70e66f1",
      "primaryURL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events/10450",
      "publicMarketURL": "https://polymarket.com/event/mrbeast-biggest-youtube-channel-by-june-30",
      "resolutionMetric": "Whether MrBeast became the largest YouTube channel by subscriber count at ANY POINT before June30,2024,11:59PMET. A last-minute change would not undo an earlier qualifying overtake.",
      "currentOfficialOutcome": "YES",
      "currentOfficialClosedTime": "2024-06-02 05:22:13+00"
    },
    "surroundingContext": {
      "eventThreadRows": 86,
      "keysetNextCursorPresent": false,
      "hasCarExplicitJokeMarkerOrRetractionInReturnedThread": false,
      "interpretationBoundary": "Other traders echo the idea with a smiley, and the thread contains banter/insults. The words establish what the account publicly advocated/threatened, not that the speaker actually bought bots or intended a real operation."
    },
    "financialStakeCheck": {
      "endpoint": "https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades",
      "conditionFilter": "0xa428ac2510adc1afc93d77b2fb0fd68f35254b4a30be2c335467956fc70e66f1",
      "accountsChecked": 8,
      "allHTTP200AndEmpty": true,
      "scope": "Current API returns for the eight publicly disclosed wallets. This is not independent lifetime chain coverage or a check of unknown accounts.",
      "conclusion": "No stake, actual bot purchase, subscriber-count impact or profit is established by these records."
    },
    "notEstablished": [
      "Actual use or purchase of subscriber bots",
      "An altered market outcome",
      "Car profiting from this market",
      "A connection to the DebugBear drainer",
      "The seriousness of the threats rather than banter"
    ],
    "quoteWordCountAcrossCuratedCommentExcerpts": 19,
    "records": [
      {
        "commentId": "29763",
        "createdUTC": "2024-04-22T20:59:28.758043Z",
        "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/29763",
        "paraphrase": "Car says he plans to artificially increase the count one minute before the market ends."
      },
      {
        "commentId": "29764",
        "createdUTC": "2024-04-22T21:04:51.096251Z",
        "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/29764",
        "paraphrase": "Car discusses subscriber-growth projections and explicitly recommends buying NO shares."
      },
      {
        "commentId": "29765",
        "createdUTC": "2024-04-22T21:05:54.088265Z",
        "parentCommentId": "29764",
        "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/29765",
        "paraphrase": "Replying to his own NO recommendation, Car proposes purchased subscribers as protection for a losing NO bet."
      },
      {
        "commentId": "32398",
        "createdUTC": "2024-05-10T23:10:16.661391Z",
        "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/32398",
        "paraphrase": "On May 10 he repeats a plan/threat to artificially increase T-Series subscribers three minutes before the deadline, saying this would hurt two other traders. Their handles are omitted."
      }
    ]
  },
  "boundedExecutionFacts": {
    "capturedUTC": "2026-10-31T00:00:13.712891+00:00",
    "finding": "The twelve circular Car/CarComboCup rounds comprised virtually all observed execution in three markets during the bounded window; their newly created complete sets stayed inside the two-wallet group until each merge.",
    "window": {
      "startBlock": 76367800,
      "endBlock": 76369400,
      "startUTC": "2025-09-12T18:01:29+00:00",
      "endUTC": "2025-09-12T18:58:31+00:00",
      "elapsedSeconds": 3422,
      "canonicalV1ExchangesQueried": [
        "0x4bfb41d5b3570defd03c39a9a4d8de6bd8b8982e",
        "0xc5d563a36ae78145c45a50134d48a1215220f80a"
      ],
      "allOrderFilledLogs": 13046,
      "bothCurrentV2ExchangesCodeAtEnd": "0x"
    },
    "marketContext": {
      "targetMarkets": 3,
      "allPairFills": 27,
      "CarComboPairFills": 24,
      "fillSharePercent": "88.88888888888888888888888889",
      "allUniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "32115",
      "CarComboUniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "32100",
      "collateralTurnoverSharePercent": "99.95329285380663241475945820",
      "outsidePairFills": 3,
      "outsideCollateralTurnoverUSDCe": "15",
      "perMarket": [
        {
          "id": "573867",
          "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed?",
          "fills": 4,
          "CarComboFills": 4,
          "allUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "4000",
          "CarComboUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "4000"
        },
        {
          "id": "586138",
          "question": "EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?",
          "fills": 2,
          "CarComboFills": 2,
          "allUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "100",
          "CarComboUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "100"
        },
        {
          "id": "588004",
          "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
          "fills": 21,
          "CarComboFills": 18,
          "allUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "28015",
          "CarComboUniqueCollateralUSDCe": "28000"
        }
      ]
    },
    "actualLoopEpisode": {
      "startUTC": "2025-09-12T18:14:09+00:00",
      "endUTC": "2025-09-12T18:47:13+00:00",
      "elapsedSeconds": 1984,
      "allTargetMarketFills": 24,
      "CarComboFills": 24,
      "fraction": "100% of observed target-market fills during first-to-last loop episode",
      "all12EachClosedPositiveForCar": true,
      "CarNetUSDCe": "1601.5",
      "nineCyclesClosedWithinSeconds": 32,
      "holdingSeconds": [
        50,
        80,
        52,
        32,
        18,
        14,
        14,
        26,
        20,
        16,
        10,
        30
      ],
      "all48ActualOrderSignaturesPreviouslyVerified": true,
      "CarIsMakerAll24": true,
      "all24CarOrdersUniqueAndFullyFilled": true,
      "all48TargetCTFMovementsAreKnownOpeningOrClosing": true,
      "noInterveningTargetTokenMovementsWhilePairsHeld": true,
      "perWalletAllSixTargetTokenNetDeltasZero": true,
      "allIncrementalGroupPositionsCompleteSetsAfterEachAtomicTrade": true,
      "atomicTradeEndStates": [
        {
          "tx": "0x4d5d2a7a0fb4b1c4bcadbff7cac9f0eb72bbd02dfb114fda02213d20378e095d",
          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
            "573867": "0",
            "586138": "50",
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        },
        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
            "573867": "0",
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        },
        {
          "tx": "0x40de2215d1327ee5bf25b075759c8fe9765b249a8654e81cfd594be982cc1235",
          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
            "573867": "1000",
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            "588004": "0"
          }
        },
        {
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        },
        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
          "tx": "0x7a86426fc1bb2938c64009b8542d0f51b07c591d1d812f092746bd49f3ef10cd",
          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        {
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        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
          "tx": "0xab0bd7ef8f367bbae9526b229a07f0bb6b7502fa0931ab35c74b54dd32da9fef",
          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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        },
        {
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        {
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          "incrementalCompleteSetsByMarket": {
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    },
    "executionRows": [
      {
        "tx": "0x4d5d2a7a0fb4b1c4bcadbff7cac9f0eb72bbd02dfb114fda02213d20378e095d",
        "block": 76368158,
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        "makerFilledRaw": "29500000",
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        "marketId": "586138",
        "question": "EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?",
        "matchType": "MINT",
        "sets": "50",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "50",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
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      {
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        "question": "EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?",
        "matchType": "MERGE",
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        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "50",
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        "makerFilledRaw": "300000000",
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        "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed?",
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        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
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        "takerAsset": "0",
        "makerFilledRaw": "1000000000",
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        "marketId": "573867",
        "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed?",
        "matchType": "MERGE",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
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        "makerFilledRaw": "310000000",
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        "marketId": "573867",
        "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed?",
        "matchType": "MINT",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
        "tx": "0x1d1de1ac5bfb9ddfd67747d92b56a32f22aee5614d390b24d71175a3ea99f79c",
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        "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed?",
        "matchType": "MERGE",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
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        "makerFilledRaw": "480000000",
        "takerFilledRaw": "1000000000",
        "marketId": "588004",
        "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
        "matchType": "MINT",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
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        "takerAsset": "0",
        "makerFilledRaw": "1000000000",
        "takerFilledRaw": "590000000",
        "marketId": "588004",
        "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
        "matchType": "MERGE",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
        "tx": "0x255c10905e1a923e09bdc49ee2f857543a2cc73c5d75e808824bfc6cb6a83280",
        "block": 76368514,
        "logIndex": 32,
        "exchange": "0x4bfb41d5b3570defd03c39a9a4d8de6bd8b8982e",
        "maker": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
        "taker": "0x0690a02377f25f764a000aa385928f2a0142e540",
        "makerAsset": "0",
        "takerAsset": "66934437350198205015758574889193840889569944398221677815696763505500003258329",
        "makerFilledRaw": "480000000",
        "takerFilledRaw": "1000000000",
        "marketId": "588004",
        "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
        "matchType": "MINT",
        "sets": "1000",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "1000",
        "knownCarComboLoop": true
      },
      {
        "tx": "0xee8ade6e445e5a71580c07d7e6f7261bfd4780e8c4456b59d46a87d568471bbd",
        "block": 76368523,
        "logIndex": 103,
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        "marketId": "588004",
        "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
        "matchType": "MERGE",
        "sets": "5",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "5",
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      {
        "tx": "0xbc33bbb921e9715723482c6b236849114267f6b3fce7847c4e37978ba0c82136",
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        "maker": "0x6038d0f4d36c58c10bb8c7db17a346bbad18413e",
        "taker": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
        "makerAsset": "0",
        "takerAsset": "66934437350198205015758574889193840889569944398221677815696763505500003258329",
        "makerFilledRaw": "2400000",
        "takerFilledRaw": "5000000",
        "marketId": "588004",
        "question": "Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?",
        "matchType": "MINT",
        "sets": "5",
        "uniqueCTFCollateralUSDCe": "5",
        "knownCarComboLoop": false
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    ],
    "interpretation": "The records establish repeated circular counterparty trading, near-total bounded execution dominance, neutral incremental group inventory and twelve cash gains to Car. Car was the quoted maker in all24 settlements; an independent counterparty repeatedly crossing legitimate bid/ask quotes is not excluded. The records do not prove Car directed or arranged the trades, manufactured volume intentionally, or shared human ownership with CarComboCup.",
    "limits": [
      "Window is57m02s across exactly3 markets, not entire market lifetimes or platform volume.",
      "Collateral turnover counts a mint lock or merge release once; it is independently matched to the canonical USDC.e transfer involving CTF. It is not a claim about a website volume/reward counter.",
      "The broader57m window has3 outside fills totaling15 collateral; the narrower33m04s loop episode has24 fills, all Car/Combo.",
      "Unrelated Car markets and whole portfolio cash/exposure are not included in target-token neutrality.",
      "Historical public prices-history was mostly0.535 for HypurrYES; no claim that these executions pumped the public displayed price.",
      "CarComboCup funding/returns are verified financial associations, not conclusive human ownership."
    ]
  },
  "makerRoleAssessment": {
    "proof": "MAKER-ORDER-SIZE-CHECK.json",
    "CarMakerSettlements": 24,
    "CarUniqueOrders": 24,
    "all24CarOrdersFullyFilled": true,
    "orderPlacementTimeUnknown": true,
    "intentBoundary": "Car\u2019s maker role and a losing counterparty do not alone establish direction, knowledge or coordination."
  },
  "rewardAttributionConclusion": "No causal reward or rebate attribution to the matched fills was established. Actual account-level payouts are verified, but the evidence does not support calling them rewards from those self-trades.",
  "proofPrefix": "/proof/conduct-next-2350/"
}