MONEY / TRAIL31 OCT 2026
CAR · RECOVERED POSTS + CURRENT STATUS CHECKS

Deleted posts.
Checked again.

We recovered Car’s original promotion claiming $7,290 from a five-minute Bitcoin bet, and the edited version. Both use the same screenshot. Here are the source records, the corrections, and a searchable archive of every status check.

Open the original evidence ↘
01

The original $7,290 claim is recovered.

On 7 August 2026, Car posted a promotion showing a claimed $7,290 return on a five-minute Bitcoin market. Two archived first-party records identify his account and attachment, then bind the versions through X’s formal edit history:

EDIT · 00:39:33 UTC

2085526222763626656

Deleted by the author. The caption’s line order changes; the profit claim and image stay the same.

Open edited archived record ↗

What is actually on the image

Market label
BTC Up or Down 5m
Displayed result
Up · 10,000 shares at 27¢ average
Displayed cost / value
$2,700 / $9,990
Displayed gain
$7,290 · 270%
Price to beat / final
64,121.13 / 64,338.52
Date, slug or condition ID
None shown

The critic’s chosen 00:10–00:15 UTC market settled Down. But the image contains no date or market identifier, and its final number also matches the preceding 00:05–00:10 Up market. The exact market has not been bound to the image.

A falling section of the chart also cannot establish a fake Up result: the displayed final price is above its displayed opening price. The recovered evidence establishes Car’s promotion, image and edit; it does not establish image forgery.

02

Two source-discussion replies are deleted. The main thread is live.

In the 23 April 2026 ceasefire thread, two archived replies argue for a bullish interpretation of Iranian statements. Both now return explicit author-deleted notices. The main thread, preceding reply and Car’s approximately 40,000 YES-share disclosure remain live.

LIVE CONTEXT

Public stance and group positions

The eight publicly associated accounts hold more YES than NO shares at all 11 checked times. The flying-wheel account does hold a NO hedge, while the group still holds more YES. An actual 10,000 YES purchase at 16:36:24 supports Car’s later additional-buy statement.

Main thread ↗ · Stake disclosure ↗

A separate deleted 19 February 2026 UMA.rocks promotion explicitly disclosed sponsorship and marked its oracle-takeover opening as a joke before discussing safeguards. The full text does not support an undisclosed-ad or oracle-attack admission claim.

Archived replies, live context and sponsored-ad check ↗ · Eight-account balances and recovered signatures ↗

03

The $5,000 payment came before the donation statement.

Car’s two 24 June 2026 responses to ChoiceMarkets are now recovered from primary archives, including their formal edit history. He accused the project of running a drainer scheme, refused to promote it and said he had decided to donate $5,000 to the Red Cross. Those are his claims; both versions are now author-deleted.

A client-published screenshot shows a displayed Car account agreeing to two posts for $5,000 and supplying his known Base deposit address. The chain independently confirms that deposit received 5,000 USDC on 8 June. The screenshot is not an authenticated chat record; whether the posts were delivered or a refund followed remains unresolved.

Car’s archived responses dispute the arrangement. Both versions attach the same receipt-style image displaying €4,401.78; charity settlement and the image’s authenticity remain unverified.

The Polygon transaction circulated as proof against the donation occurred on 8 June, sixteen days before the statement. Three successful receipts show a 5,000 USDC credit to Car’s known Base deposit, a forwarding transfer 14 seconds later, and a 5,000 pUSD mint to his main Polymarket wallet 31 seconds after the initial credit. The amount, address and timing match; a service-specific cross-chain request has not been independently bound. These records do not determine whether a later charity donation happened.

Base · 5,000 USDC credited
To Car’s known deposit address.

Receipt ↗

Base · 5,000 USDC forwarded
From the deposit to a service address, 14 seconds later.

Receipt ↗

Polygon · 5,000 pUSD minted
Credited to Car’s main Polymarket wallet, 31 seconds after the initial Base credit.

Receipt ↗

Original response · 22:22:36 UTC ↗ · Formal edit · 22:25:51 UTC ↗ · Verified payment records and claim boundaries ↗

The recovered responses establish what Car said. Charity fulfilment and the truth of his accusation against ChoiceMarkets remain unresolved here.

04

Keep the two October 29 post IDs straight.

LIVE · OFFICIAL POLYMARKET

2115881498477785393

@PolymarketTrade · 19:00:35 UTC
Platform reopening and full reimbursement update.

Open the actual author’s post ↗
AUTHOR-DELETED · CAR

2115881859704078520

Car’s separate rescue claim
This is the Car post ID. The current first-party response explicitly says author-deleted.

Open the current X status check ↗

Car’s surviving 18:35:47 UTC reply also sits directly under his deleted initial loss claim and shares Polymarket’s earlier vendor-fixed / make-whole update. It supplies timeline context; it does not identify the drainer or verify a loss amount. Surviving reply ↗

05

Search every checked status ID.

Each row preserves the requested ID, any returned original ID, exact first-party check URL, source provenance and verification hash. 314 author-deleted status IDs comprise the retained 311-ID archive plus three known incident IDs. X returns a different original ID for four live requests, so 84 live responses represent 80 unique returned IDs.

An ID-derived timestamp is a creation-time clue from X’s identifier format. It is not the time a post was deleted. Current deleted responses omit original author and edit-family metadata; those bindings rely on retained source context.

Loading the 398-ID register…

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06

The sources stay attached to the claims.

Archived first-party bodies establish the recovered wording and edit relationships. Current first-party responses establish author deletion or a live return. The image and transaction checks establish their own narrower facts. This pass establishes neither a deletion motive nor a connection between Car and the DebugBear drainer.

Download the new metadata evidence pack ↗ · Original status register and hashes ↗

Checks cover the discovered identifiers, not the account’s complete history. Provider failures and earlier archive gaps remain recorded in the evidence.