{
  "curatedUTC": "2026-10-31T02:59:12.876926+00:00",
  "title": "Car described spreading misinformation; the buyer he named matches an actual signed trade.",
  "recommendedPublicWording": "Car\u2019s public account discussed refunding a NO-share buyer and acknowledged spreading misinformation. The address he named is the actual signer behind the buyer in a verified trade. His quoted price differs from the chain record, and the comments do not establish what moved the market.",
  "market": {
    "id": "501679",
    "question": "Will Iran President Raisi be found today?",
    "conditionId": "0x59d6bc87353d4209b5b6d7a4d5cd64bebcfb48a00cd2f160317171879fd641b6",
    "slug": "will-iran-president-raisi-be-found-today",
    "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
    "outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
    "clobTokenIds": "[\"82478598840150364205283869175230401494402678070235584045697407734962448017665\", \"90551538375428094544610000876640060206414187680491079030689757819958311726221\"]"
  },
  "knownCar": {
    "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
    "proxy": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
    "profileName": "Car",
    "profileUserID": "501613",
    "xUsername": "CarOnPolymarket",
    "bindingLimit": "Comments are attributed by current primary platform records; actual historical trade authorizations independently recover the known key. This does not identify a human keyboard operator."
  },
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": "33746",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33746",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T22:40:27.907452Z",
      "parentCommentID": null,
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Claims to have spoken with the president\u2019s spokesperson and says Raisi will take a vacation after surviving. The claim has not been authenticated and the surrounding thread contains sarcasm."
    },
    {
      "id": "33755",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33755",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T22:52:47.755782Z",
      "parentCommentID": null,
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Argues that locating the wreckage does not mean locating the president, and says he is buying more NO shares."
    },
    {
      "id": "33787",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33787",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:39:06.154402Z",
      "parentCommentID": null,
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Posts a short exclamation claiming to have found Raisi. This is later than the verified profitable pair and cannot explain that earlier pair\u2019s gain."
    },
    {
      "id": "33788",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33788",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:45:15.247486Z",
      "parentCommentID": null,
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Offers to refund whoever bought his NO shares at a stated 89 cents, and describes his behavior as manipulating markets. The exact 89-cent sale is not matched in the checked main-wallet records."
    },
    {
      "id": "33797",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33797",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:52:05.897622Z",
      "parentCommentID": "33788",
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Names the address 0x7f3773c5ed56801ca9398f3018d5c2aa47b8af1a as the apparent buyer."
    },
    {
      "id": "33798",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33798",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:52:26.840037Z",
      "parentCommentID": "33788",
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Rejects another claimant by saying that claimant did not transact when he spread misinformation.",
      "shortQuote": "at the time I spreaded misinformation"
    },
    {
      "id": "33801",
      "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/33801",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:54:23.577943Z",
      "parentCommentID": "33788",
      "userAddress": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
      "paraphrase": "Continues the exchange by ridiculing the other claimant for buying YES shares."
    }
  ],
  "verifiedTrades": [
    {
      "tx": "0x3944e2be31a3dff13ee425ade4d4b0f92de3e3fab48a1fdfc8596040acf78699",
      "block": 57161647,
      "blockHash": "0xc2ba205a13aebe5f11762c9c6440483e5a97d19fce99f34271e8d6dc169e695a",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T22:39:05+00:00",
      "CarUSDCeChange": "-30.006",
      "CarNOChange": "100.02",
      "impliedPrice": "0.3",
      "CarRole": "taker",
      "counterpartyOrExchange": "0x4bfb41d5b3570defd03c39a9a4d8de6bd8b8982e",
      "order": {
        "salt": 492564041326,
        "maker": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
        "signer": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
        "taker": "0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
        "tokenId": 90551538375428094544610000876640060206414187680491079030689757819958311726221,
        "makerAmount": 30006000,
        "takerAmount": 100020000,
        "expiration": 0,
        "nonce": 0,
        "feeRateBps": 0,
        "side": 0,
        "signatureType": 1,
        "signature": "0xac015d57f8cca14ae20a956bc40ebd402366f9cf3d0e3020c34b0fb90b59c198117c0f33512aa69d92b21bf03876a2047e90e31a179ea22bd9bdcd004aad2a6b1c",
        "tx": "0x3944e2be31a3dff13ee425ade4d4b0f92de3e3fab48a1fdfc8596040acf78699",
        "orderHash": "0x71012994f059a8717c6d0fe99763b8a8c733f794d43c373325a345ba33ce4fa4",
        "actualRecoveredSigner": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82"
      }
    },
    {
      "tx": "0x30535e615a97b87fffe04dd69ad9a5362c6ec0d916d258d4a0b8f20eef32974c",
      "block": 57162512,
      "blockHash": "0x5e68b6f7b6303432d3ba42b92892da06f545971d63cc9f917716f0728e228c12",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:10:52+00:00",
      "CarUSDCeChange": "84.0168",
      "CarNOChange": "-100.02",
      "impliedPrice": "0.84",
      "CarRole": "maker",
      "counterpartyOrExchange": "0xe5ddf947d781fd3c6434e8f59391f28be69f3e45",
      "order": {
        "salt": 75395433343,
        "maker": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
        "signer": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
        "taker": "0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
        "tokenId": 90551538375428094544610000876640060206414187680491079030689757819958311726221,
        "makerAmount": 100020000,
        "takerAmount": 84016800,
        "expiration": 0,
        "nonce": 0,
        "feeRateBps": 0,
        "side": 1,
        "signatureType": 1,
        "signature": "0x230a976ada320d78e2de12d0b21c39df823f5d270ddf4ce7d1a654912c3e9c462729e06fb1f310d676ebd4e7e4ac7a4fa7bf1668ba23f0ef4bb216baf265c1821c",
        "tx": "0x30535e615a97b87fffe04dd69ad9a5362c6ec0d916d258d4a0b8f20eef32974c",
        "orderHash": "0xaa474d3b825aab052a48a4b73a43eb0ab647bc692832e6ea89888cb303ceb146",
        "actualRecoveredSigner": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82"
      }
    },
    {
      "tx": "0xf94ade2f35da3351d5d0e02e3303dac291470f56495674dadb9620801dc6b5ed",
      "block": 57163287,
      "blockHash": "0x1052d125034906fe7b294661279e890218c7d3ce01309f884b342877ff6ce18d",
      "UTC": "2024-05-19T23:39:59+00:00",
      "CarUSDCeChange": "-4.07",
      "CarNOChange": "11",
      "impliedPrice": "0.37",
      "CarRole": "maker",
      "counterpartyOrExchange": "0xf53fc0f391093de07db473154cc9c48d09cd9fa3",
      "order": {
        "salt": 156388438858,
        "maker": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
        "signer": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82",
        "taker": "0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
        "tokenId": 90551538375428094544610000876640060206414187680491079030689757819958311726221,
        "makerAmount": 4070000,
        "takerAmount": 11000000,
        "expiration": 0,
        "nonce": 0,
        "feeRateBps": 0,
        "side": 0,
        "signatureType": 1,
        "signature": "0xd3de2d6d496ae77a55ce51fc466c2fb290b26ec407f3f4d9b73296b5c5a6d5ea30b08565800283dfe299fdd7bf6faa14170b2a63189973f7551eee6443a15d321b",
        "tx": "0xf94ade2f35da3351d5d0e02e3303dac291470f56495674dadb9620801dc6b5ed",
        "orderHash": "0x94e74623dd1dc5f9c1d85294a2b0daccae5765ae0ba222c1fa03a2aa0f823a58",
        "actualRecoveredSigner": "0x1f64f2739a19fc5cdfd7c3f50c42463aa8983e82"
      }
    }
  ],
  "holdingChecks": [
    {
      "checkpoint": "beforeBuy",
      "block": 57161646,
      "NObalanceRaw": "0"
    },
    {
      "checkpoint": "afterBuy",
      "block": 57161647,
      "NObalanceRaw": "100020000"
    },
    {
      "checkpoint": "afterSale",
      "block": 57162512,
      "NObalanceRaw": "0"
    }
  ],
  "firstClosedPair": {
    "shares": "100.02 NO",
    "buyUTC": "2024-05-19T22:39:05Z",
    "buyUSDCe": "30.006",
    "sellUTC": "2024-05-19T23:10:52Z",
    "sellUSDCe": "84.0168",
    "closedPairGrossCashGain": "54.0108",
    "holdingBeforeBuy": "0 NO",
    "holdingAfterBuy": "100.02 NO",
    "holdingAfterSale": "0 NO",
    "labelLimit": "This is the first closed pair only, not market-wide profit or profit caused by misinformation."
  },
  "namedBuyer": {
    "namedAddress": "0x7f3773c5ed56801ca9398f3018d5c2aa47b8af1a",
    "proxy": "0xe5ddf947d781fd3c6434e8f59391f28be69f3e45",
    "profileUserID": "522063",
    "currentPrimaryProfileURL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-profile?address=0x7f3773c5ed56801ca9398f3018d5c2aa47b8af1a",
    "historicalActualOrderHash": "0x78ea352d7720472fe686d0f7661568e0ed5072d6b45d9ba732085fb3bc620af4",
    "historicalActualSignatureRecoverVerified": true,
    "historicalEmittedHashMatched": true,
    "counterpartyRole": "Taker in the 23:10:52 sale; Car was a maker. The signer matches the exact address named in comment33797.",
    "source": {
      "file": "NAMED-BUYER-AUTHORIZATION-VERIFIED.json",
      "bytes": 859,
      "SHA256": "387f4e661f1bb106b79dd7a71feab2634453855fc1f1597aa846a9aec8e7ad23"
    }
  },
  "priceMismatch": {
    "commentClaim": "89 cents",
    "actualVerifiedSale": "84 cents",
    "exact89CentSaleMatchedInCheckedMainWalletRecords": false,
    "limit": "Do not silently replace the stated price or imply the admission fully matches the settlement. Other historical accounts have not been exhaustively excluded."
  },
  "wholeTradeCashCheck": {
    "matchedReceipts": 54,
    "netUSDCe": "-319.905235",
    "netYES": "0",
    "netNO": "0.004112",
    "scope": "All54 returned market-filtered Car TRADE APIrows, each matched to successful canonicalcash/share receipt events. No unrelated wallettransfer, gas or redemptionledger completeness is claimed.",
    "conclusion": "The first pair gained money, but all54 matched trade cashflows together are negative. The isolated pair gain must not be presented as whole-market profit. Transfers, payouts, gas and unknown accounts are not exhausted.",
    "source": {
      "file": "RAISI-ALL54-CASH-VERIFIED.json",
      "bytes": 23921,
      "SHA256": "89288776cdb5ae366cd8f746e220c09471eaa21cee6fc57eb9ab8f68c103867b"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "returnedThreadRows": 234,
    "CarComments": 66,
    "nextCursorRemaining": false,
    "observations": [
      "The comments include obvious exaggeration, jokes and insults. The exact seriousness of the refund/manipulation language is not independently established.",
      "A later 23:39 claim cannot cause the earlier23:10 sale. Earlier22:40/22:52 posts exist, but the precise misinformation item and its effect on buyers or prices are not established.",
      "The full returned thread contains no authenticated refund-settlement record. This does not establish a refund was never paid.",
      "Current market record resolves YES. That does not independently prove any particular earlier comment was knowingly false."
    ]
  },
  "subscriberExecutionCheck": {
    "newHistoricalReads": {
      "reads": [
        {
          "checkpoint": "subscriberApr22",
          "block": 56137647,
          "wallet": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
          "codeBytes": 45,
          "token": "51245905578689580839216632151511672724726983524001717947134141786779625023482",
          "balanceRaw": "0"
        },
        {
          "checkpoint": "subscriberApr22",
          "block": 56137647,
          "wallet": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
          "codeBytes": 45,
          "token": "108423559998826265967953397995430387089235639553160536411077557011093763926776",
          "balanceRaw": "0"
        },
        {
          "checkpoint": "subscriberMay10",
          "block": 56819456,
          "wallet": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
          "codeBytes": 45,
          "token": "51245905578689580839216632151511672724726983524001717947134141786779625023482",
          "balanceRaw": "0"
        },
        {
          "checkpoint": "subscriberMay10",
          "block": 56819456,
          "wallet": "0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b",
          "codeBytes": 45,
          "token": "108423559998826265967953397995430387089235639553160536411077557011093763926776",
          "balanceRaw": "0"
        }
      ],
      "scope": "Current Car proxy only at exact comment blocks; other historical wallet formats or prior wallets not exhaustively covered."
    },
    "conclusion": "The known main proxy existed at both April22 andMay10,2024 threat checkpoints but held zero of both MrBeast-market tokens. This is not coverage of all historical addresses or proof of never holding a stake; no executed subscriber operation was found.",
    "currentUserCommentCoverage": "600distinct primary comments: earliest300 Feb10\u2013May31,2024 and latest300 May4\u2013Oct30,2026. The middle history is not exhausted; documented user-address endpoint has no keyset equivalent."
  },
  "negativeControl": {
    "commentID": "37059",
    "URL": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments/37059",
    "topic": "Caitlyn Jenner hack market",
    "interpretation": "A short claim to have hacked Jenner occurs amid Car\u2019s arguments that she was not hacked and obvious banter. It is not reliable evidence of an actual hack or drainer involvement."
  },
  "notEstablished": [
    "A specific false source that caused the profitable pair",
    "A demonstrated causal effect on market prices or a buyer\u2019s decision",
    "An exact89cent sale",
    "Refund failure",
    "Subscriber-bot execution",
    "Car\u2019s control of the buyer",
    "A connection to the DebugBear drainer",
    "A legal determination of market manipulation"
  ],
  "quotePolicy": {
    "directWords": 6,
    "fullPostBodiesOrImagesIncluded": false
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "file": "comment33788.json",
      "bytes": 8005,
      "SHA256": "c2bf70b1cd85aae0324ffb8676f349078bde4a08a9a2a229e1844d7430f26f6d"
    },
    {
      "file": "comment33746.json",
      "bytes": 1302,
      "SHA256": "caa74579cff72ccd64a6b14b9cd081820026b001ef7da8d5fa3e6206482ccae4"
    },
    {
      "file": "comment33755.json",
      "bytes": 3101,
      "SHA256": "cb71e785578f76a99b6006f2b56cceefb09d4fa128ad20c0dd54b0057be2f884"
    },
    {
      "file": "comment33787.json",
      "bytes": 589,
      "SHA256": "d89884c1c2af15f0c1af534f71d8ec15a157b20842c28fc6348c11c53ca2f22f"
    },
    {
      "file": "comment33797.json",
      "bytes": 8005,
      "SHA256": "c2bf70b1cd85aae0324ffb8676f349078bde4a08a9a2a229e1844d7430f26f6d"
    },
    {
      "file": "comment33798.json",
      "bytes": 8005,
      "SHA256": "c2bf70b1cd85aae0324ffb8676f349078bde4a08a9a2a229e1844d7430f26f6d"
    },
    {
      "file": "event10707.json",
      "bytes": 4544,
      "SHA256": "8ab919eb8b6de78b6e3e3b878495a544d801697b60e337c008181b2ad3122ef2"
    },
    {
      "file": "thread10707.json",
      "bytes": 158907,
      "SHA256": "c20e932b558963d98b7772b5ab1d18bc28805fc4c14a13bcb07242a7931b9317"
    },
    {
      "file": "thread10707-page1.json",
      "bytes": 32066,
      "SHA256": "ce52b2254665f817c5bb399a418244552550cd3bad8631031d3afb76216e7529"
    },
    {
      "file": "raisi-car-trades.json",
      "bytes": 49624,
      "SHA256": "bc9210fc6ae38675fa5c896831b4139032b5288855e2f98d591ce22c5e816fe7"
    },
    {
      "file": "mentioned-counterparty-profile.json",
      "bytes": 454,
      "SHA256": "e53bf1e6ee4f20c30bf30b6fdc1c9e37531d4da4a98e61b18fe6c8c2fcdae787"
    },
    {
      "file": "RAISI-THREE-ORDERS-VERIFIED.json",
      "bytes": 22757,
      "SHA256": "e62541f4881897c505c224069a3b98ada192da987e845aa547f8c9afd22b101c"
    },
    {
      "file": "NAMED-BUYER-AUTHORIZATION-VERIFIED.json",
      "bytes": 859,
      "SHA256": "387f4e661f1bb106b79dd7a71feab2634453855fc1f1597aa846a9aec8e7ad23"
    },
    {
      "file": "RAISI-ALL54-CASH-VERIFIED.json",
      "bytes": 23921,
      "SHA256": "89288776cdb5ae366cd8f746e220c09471eaa21cee6fc57eb9ab8f68c103867b"
    },
    {
      "file": "historical-rpc-primary.json",
      "bytes": 760543,
      "SHA256": "f635a0a1b81a9b4110bc4fcd5a787e90c45039abe2817111370ddfa5325300ae"
    },
    {
      "file": "subscriber-historical-balances.json",
      "bytes": 1287,
      "SHA256": "c12e0fbc5d59ccca0a25c05d6c54b1703a1415045cfc16cafea2772e80219ad6"
    }
  ]
}